Study Shows Piracy Losing Premium Ad Revenue

Among the standard responses to any proposal to mitigate online piracy is an insistence that it just cannot be stopped.  Perhaps not entirely. But it can be starved.  That was the underlying goal of SOPA, but people decided the criminal sites deserved the money they were making because freedom.

As many readers know, the piracy universe is still largely supported by advertising.  The majority of the ads on many sites are “non-premium,” which is a polite way of saying sleazy.  These are usually promos for snake-oil products, VPNS to hide your identity so you can pirate more, and “dating” services offering men the opportunity to spend hundreds of dollars to exchange sexy emails with Sabrina in Odessa, who is more likely to be Todd in Duluth.

Research varies with regard to how much premium vs non-premium advertising supports particular sites, but major advertisers have been working for a few years now to bring their own contribution closer to zero. Although the total amount of premium advertising on pirate sites represents a small fraction of the US digital ad buy of over $60 billion/year, the advertisers view the presence of their brands on these sites as generally bad for business.   In addition to representing waste and lack of transparency in the digital advertising ecosystem; appearing on pirate sites associates their brands with criminal activity and spammy advertising; and it associates their brands with the increasing risk that visitors to pirate sites will stumble into malware.

In February of 2015, the major advertisers launched the Brand Integrity Program Against Piracy, led by the Trustworthy Accountability Group (TAG). As described in this post written at the time, the program was designed to establish protocols to certify suppliers and partners that work to mitigate exposure to risky entities with the ultimate aim of keeping premium brand dollars out of the pockets of pirate site owners.  A new report released today by EY indicates that these efforts seem to be working. From the report …

“If the industry were taking no quality-control steps and digital piracy operators served only premium advertisers, we estimate those operators could earn $213m annually from digital ads. In actuality, they earned an estimated $111m from those ads in 2016. The difference of $102m is a strong indication that quality-control efforts are having a significant effect.”

The study is based on analysis of 672 websites with a “high degree of infringing content that also serve advertising.”  Again, these numbers are fairly small as a portion of overall digital advertising, but they are more significant relative to revenue estimates for the piracy market overall.  For instance, this post from May 2015 cites a Digital Citizens Alliance study of just under six hundred infringing sites earning total revenue of $209 million of which $149 million came from major brand advertising.  So, if these quality-control efforts by the advertisers have legitimately denied over $100 million to piracy sites, that’s significant enough to begin to have a market effect.

If this trend continues, I suspect a few things will happen in the relatively near future.  The site operators earning well under a million dollars in revenue will probably get out of the piracy business because these sites represent fairly low-level investments designed to pick up the easy money of advertising “remnants” that fall through the cracks in the digital advertising system. The more entrenched and higher-yield sites will presumably become more dependent on spammy ads and malware, both of which are designed in one way or another to fleece users.

While it’s true that many committed pirate site users are sophisticated enough to avoid these hazards, it must also be true that plenty of users are unsophisticated enough for the scammers and hackers to be on these sites at all.  Thus, if pirate sites are further delegitimized by starving them of premium ad dollars and, as a result, they become more hazardous in the minds of, say, parents who think their teens are engaged in a harmless activity, there is decent chance the sites may lose their less-sophisticated user base.  At that point, the value to the snake-oil advertiser disappears.

If every pirate site user were savvy enough to avoid malware and sleazy ads, the only revenue model left is direct payment.  Many sites do receive subscription and donation revenue; but then of course, the lion’s share of more casual users who access these sites do so because they’re not in the habit of paying for the media they consume.  So, maybe it isn’t possible to stop piracy, but it does seem quite possible to starve it down to a more manageable size.  In the meantime, these efforts by the advertising industry should help reveal piracy for what it is—an illegal business, not a social movement.

Advertisers Announce Effort to Keep Ads Off Illicit Sites

A longstanding challenge with regard to websites that profit from pirated media, counterfeit products, and/or malware is the frequent placement of major brand advertising on the pages of those sites.  Musician David Lowery’s activist website The Trichordist has published lists of major advertisers whose banner ads have appeared on various pirate sites, seeking to hold advertisers accountable for supporting exploitation of musical artists. This kind of activism has drawn both public and industry attention to the problem. In its most basic form, the principle is that Legit Entity A should not benefit from a site that derives its traffic by exploiting Legit Entity B. That probably sounds reasonable to most people, including most advertisers themselves, but what to do about it is another matter — until now.

This morning, the advertising industry announced a new, voluntary initiative that helps advertisers better understand the nature of sites on which their ads may be placed.  The initiative produced by the Trustworthy Accountability Group (TAG)  is called the Brand Integrity Program Against Piracy and it was developed in collaboration with the three major advertising associations — the Association of National Advertisers, the American Association of Advertising Agencies, and the Interactive Advertising Bureau.

For context, it is generally true that advertisers do not want their ads placed on sites dedicated to illegal or harmful trade. Companies spend billions of dollars and thousands of hours developing, cultivating, and managing their brands; and even as brands evolve and experiment to keep up with a changing consumer market, very few brand managers will actively choose to be associated with a site engaged in illegal or exploitative commerce.  Chrysler and Target really don’t want their ads next to an ad for a questionable “dating service” or a link to a media player that will probably load spyware onto your computer.  But unlike other media, ad buying on the Internet is not all directly placed by the advertiser.  When you see an ad on a major site, it was selected and specifically paid for, like when Nissan buys a week of placement all over CNN.com.  But other ads scattered around the Web are what are called “remnants,” and these are placed somewhat blindly through low-cost, generic buys with various ad services.  It’s a bit confusing, but the blind aspect of these media buys has been one reason the advertising community has responded to the content industry that they only unintentionally advertise on sites hosting infringing content. In fact, the aforementioned Target makes a good example.  As Target now offers a movie streaming service, it would stand to reason that the company does not purposely choose to advertise on a site dedicated to movie piracy.

The whole problem won’t be solved with a single program, but thanks to demand by advertisers themselves, TAG today announced a new technology solution that enables advertisers to view site analysis based on assessed risk to their brands.  From the press release issued by TAG:

“Under the program, TAG will work with a small number of independent third-party validators, including Ernst & Young and Stroz Friedberg, to certify advertising technology companies as Digital Advertising Assurance Providers (DAAPs). To be validated as a DAAP, companies must show they can provide other advertising companies with tools to limit their exposure to undesirable websites or other properties by effectively meeting one or more criteria.”

The initiative is designed to identify what TAG calls Ad Risk Entities (AREs), meaning sites that have a high probability of facilitating illegal activity, including dissemination of unauthorized intellectual property.  Through voluntary application of these tools by the advertising industry, the expectation is that online providers who want to maintain relationships with quality advertisers will make the effort to become Digital Advertising Assurance Providers (DAAPs).  A validated DAAP would have to take steps–or show that it already takes steps–to mitigate advertiser exposure to risk according to five criteria designed to provide safeguards and assurances that their brands are not inadvertently supporting illicit activity.  These criteria include identifying properties disseminating infringing material, enabling advertisers to restrict ad placements, preventing fraudulent transactions, providing tools to monitor ad placements, and eliminating payments to undesirable entities.  It is the first initiative of its kind in which the advertisers who support most websites seek to collaborate with providers to keep legitimate trade from supporting black-market trade.

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Not only is this effort a step forward in terms of putting advertisers in control of their placements, providing them better stewardship of their brands; but it also demands greater accountability of advertisers by rights holders and other victims of exploitative sites.  In short, the “I didn’t know” defense weakens considerably with the deployment of these new tools, and since this effort comes from the advertising community, it’s fair to assume they’re generally not looking to hide behind that excuse. Still, the initiative only works if enough parties participate, so we can certainly expect The Trichordist and similar watchdogs to continue to look out for major brand advertising on infringing sites. But on the whole, I expect advertisers do hope to shun these associations because their ad value is being effectively hijacked by these types of sites.  There’s a reason most torrent and cyberlocker sites are so often supported by very sleazy ads:  because it’s a very sleazy business.